The record, as data
QuarterLine record data — totals and recent graded locks
The same public record the record page presents, laid out as plain tables: the all-time totals, the split by rule era, and the most recent graded locks. Figures are rendered from the live public record and update as new locks grade.
14 wins, 1 losses in the last 15 graded locks
Recent form, oldest to newest · Figures as of 2026-11-13 · The win rate counts direction called correctly; it is not a profit figure.
Split by rule era
| Current rules (v8) | 125 graded · 105 wins · 84.0% win rate |
|---|---|
| Earlier rules (v1–v7) | 157 graded · 131 wins · 83.4% win rate |
Each lock stays frozen under the rule version that produced it. Citing one era's performance means citing that era alone — the eras are never blended into a single claim.
Most recent graded locks
The latest 53 graded locks, newest first — window (ET), the call, the frozen entry price, the model's strength and probability read, and the graded result. Download the CSV or read how the signals are made.
| Window | Call | Entry | Strength | Model % | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 13 · 2:00 PM ET | UP | 85¢ | MODERATE | 85% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131400-00 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 1:30 PM ET | UP | 83¢ | MODERATE | 84% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131330-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 1:15 PM ET | DOWN | 80¢ | MODERATE | 15% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131315-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 12:45 PM ET | UP | 85¢ | MODERATE | 89% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131245-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 12:30 PM ET | DOWN | 85¢ | MODERATE | 13% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131230-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 12:15 PM ET | UP | 79¢ | MODERATE | 85% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131215-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 12:00 PM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | WEAK | 21% | LOSS | KXBTC15M-26NOV131200-00 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 11:45 AM ET | UP | 81¢ | WEAK | 78% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131145-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 11:30 AM ET | UP | 84¢ | WEAK | 78% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131130-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 10:30 AM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | WEAK | 21% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131030-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 10:15 AM ET | DOWN | 83¢ | MODERATE | 18% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131015-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 10:00 AM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | WEAK | 22% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV131000-00 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 9:45 AM ET | UP | 85¢ | STRONG | 94% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130945-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 9:30 AM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | WEAK | 22% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130930-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 8:45 AM ET | UP | 74¢ | STRONG | 98% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130845-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 8:30 AM ET | UP | 77¢ | MODERATE | 81% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130830-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 8:15 AM ET | UP | 71¢ | WEAK | 78% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130815-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 7:45 AM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | WEAK | 22% | LOSS | KXBTC15M-26NOV130745-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 6:45 AM ET | UP | 70¢ | WEAK | 71% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130645-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 6:30 AM ET | DOWN | 61¢ | WEAK | 34% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130630-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 6:00 AM ET | UP | 84¢ | MODERATE | 86% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130600-00 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 5:45 AM ET | UP | 85¢ | WEAK | 72% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130545-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 5:15 AM ET | UP | 84¢ | MODERATE | 85% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130515-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 5:00 AM ET | UP | 82¢ | MODERATE | 81% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130500-00 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 4:15 AM ET | DOWN | 77¢ | WEAK | 22% | LOSS | KXBTC15M-26NOV130415-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 4:00 AM ET | DOWN | 65¢ | WEAK | 30% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130400-00 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 3:45 AM ET | UP | 82¢ | WEAK | 79% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130345-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 3:15 AM ET | UP | 81¢ | MODERATE | 85% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130315-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 2:30 AM ET | DOWN | 77¢ | WEAK | 28% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130230-30 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 2:15 AM ET | UP | 85¢ | MODERATE | 84% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130215-15 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 1:45 AM ET | UP | 82¢ | WEAK | 79% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130145-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 1:00 AM ET | DOWN | 81¢ | MODERATE | 15% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130100-00 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 12:45 AM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | MODERATE | 18% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV130045-45 |
| Fri Nov 13 · 12:15 AM ET | DOWN | 75¢ | MODERATE | 18% | LOSS | KXBTC15M-26NOV130015-15 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 11:45 PM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | WEAK | 21% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV122345-45 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 11:00 PM ET | DOWN | 81¢ | MODERATE | 16% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV122300-00 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 10:00 PM ET | DOWN | 75¢ | STRONG | 8% | LOSS | KXBTC15M-26NOV122200-00 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 9:30 PM ET | DOWN | 77¢ | STRONG | 10% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV122130-30 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 9:00 PM ET | UP | 77¢ | WEAK | 71% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV122100-00 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 8:45 PM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | MODERATE | 15% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV122045-45 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 7:30 PM ET | DOWN | 77¢ | MODERATE | 18% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121930-30 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 7:15 PM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | MODERATE | 15% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121915-15 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 6:15 PM ET | UP | 83¢ | MODERATE | 86% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121815-15 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 6:00 PM ET | DOWN | 79¢ | MODERATE | 16% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121800-00 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 5:45 PM ET | DOWN | 85¢ | MODERATE | 13% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121745-45 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 5:15 PM ET | DOWN | 85¢ | WEAK | 22% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121715-15 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 5:00 PM ET | DOWN | 79¢ | WEAK | 31% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121700-00 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 4:45 PM ET | DOWN | 85¢ | MODERATE | 11% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121645-45 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 3:45 PM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | MODERATE | 19% | LOSS | KXBTC15M-26NOV121545-45 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 3:15 PM ET | DOWN | 84¢ | MODERATE | 16% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121515-15 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 2:45 PM ET | DOWN | 76¢ | MODERATE | 11% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121445-45 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 2:30 PM ET | DOWN | 79¢ | WEAK | 31% | WIN | KXBTC15M-26NOV121430-30 |
| Thu Nov 12 · 1:30 PM ET | DOWN | 85¢ | MODERATE | 12% | LOSS | KXBTC15M-26NOV121330-30 |
Graded against Kalshi's official settlement for each window. The record is append-only: graded locks are never edited, and windows that never locked remain sit-outs.
QuarterLine is an educational information service. It publishes information and analysis only; it is not financial advice, it does not place trades for you, and it is not affiliated with Kalshi. Prediction-market contracts are risky and can lose their full value — never trade money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance, including a fully published record, does not guarantee future results.